منابع مشابه
Asset Returns and Economic Risk
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta E C O N O M I C R E V I E W Second Quarter 2002 D o financial markets offer higher rewards in the form of average returns for holding risks related to recessions and financial distress in addition to the risks from overall market movements? The answer to this question is related to the way financial economists understand the investment world. Fifteen years ago, f...
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Aggregate asset growth rst di¤erences of the logarithm of household net worth can capture time variation in changes in expected returns in quarterly and annual horizons in which stock returns have virtually zero autocorrelations. Regressions of changes in stock returns on aggregate asset growth provide stable estimates of slope coe¢ cients over time, which improve out-of-sample predictabilit...
متن کاملAmbiguity , Learning , and Asset Returns ∗
We develop a consumption-based asset-pricing model in which the representative agent is ambiguous about the hidden state in consumption growth. He learns about the hidden state under ambiguity by observing past consumption data. His preferences are represented by the smooth ambiguity model axiomatized by Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2006). Unlike the standard Bayesian theory, this utility model impl...
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This paper uses a stylised asset-pricing model to show that sunspots may cause asset returns to be predictable, a widely documented feature of many speculative markets. This result parallels and extends previous works showing that sunspots render asset prices excessively volatile. Journal of Economic Literature Classi cation Numbers: D84, E44, G12
متن کاملDisplacement Risk and Asset Returns ∗
We study asset-pricing implications of innovation in a general-equilibrium overlappinggenerations economy. Innovation increases the competitive pressure on existing firms and workers, reducing the profits of existing firms and eroding the human capital of older workers. Due to the lack of inter-generational risk sharing, innovation creates a systematic risk factor, which we call “displacement r...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
سال: 2005
ISSN: 1533-4465
DOI: 10.1353/eca.2005.0011